As Kenyans prepare to recast their ballots the impact of tribal and ethnic allegiance have emerged as key determinants on who will make it to state house.
In the previous disputed presidential elections a few of the perceived patriots had opted to break tribal cocoons but after the nullification of president Kenyatta’s win specific communities have resorted to tribal voting patterns.
For instance Chama cha Mashinani party leader and former Bomet governor Isaac Ruto. Ruto was perceived to be a diehard supporter of Raila Odinga but after they failed to capture their respective seats, Ruto decamped and make a comeback to his own community under the kingpin deputy president William Ruto to support President Kenyatta.
Just a week later PNU chair and former Meru governor Peter Munya announced to break the tribal inclinations to support Raila Odinga but as he tried to make a political rally in his county in support of Raila the community turned against him. He was left alone and within 8 days Munya decamped back to support President Uhuru Kenyatta.
Now it is claimed that the two communities from the Central and Rift Valley have formed a formidable force to support President Kenyatta.
Back in the former Nyanza province it’s clearly evident that you can’t win a political seat if you are defiant to their Baba Raila Odinga. The region in every general elections votes in their leader Raila Odinga because he is their own.
The Coastal Communities too are inclining themselves where Mombasa Governor Hassan Joho is claimed to be the rising Kingpin.
Eastern too Kalonzo Musyoka the Raila Odinga’s running mate is claimed to be the Kamba leader, however divisions in the region is high with a few shifting their allegiance to support President Kenyatta.
What now remains is the divided Western region where political bigwigs Moses Wetangula and Musalia Mudavadi are struggling to identify their leader…..Who between them will be the Mulumba Nation Kingpin with such political rifts with a section of the Mps supporting President Kenyatta…..
In the North Eastern province politics remain relatively calm, thanks to negotiated democracy where elders from various clans agree on the political leader.